Cheilomenes propinqua
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antananarivo | 🇲🇬 Madagascar | |
| 2 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 3 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Tel Aviv | 🇮🇱 Israel | |
| 5 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 6 | Harare | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 7 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua sighting in Pretoria on a given day, based on 55 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 20th most-seen of the 274 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua in Pretoria on a given day, against under 5% in May and June, the lowest months. That is one of Pretoria's driest months, with about 15 mm of rain against 130 mm in December.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cheilomenes propinqua sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
3rd of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Cheilomenes propinqua sightings, Pretoria ranks 3rd at about 20%. The best odds are in Antananarivo (Madagascar, about 30%) and Nairobi (Kenya, about 20%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cheilomenes propinqua is recorded against all the insects logged in Pretoria (55 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
