Orvasca subnotata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Orvasca subnotata is a nygmiine tussock moth in the family Erebidae, found in Indomalaya and East Asia, where it is known as a pest that feeds on millets. The species was first described by Francis Walker in 1865. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hong Kong | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 2 | Tuen Mun | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 3 | Zhuhai [Macau] | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 4 | Pune | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 5 | Colombo [Sri Jayawardenepura Kotte] | 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka | |
| 6 | Kochi | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 7 | Guangzhou | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 8 | Bengaluru | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 9 | Chennai | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 10 | Hyderabad | 🇮🇳 India |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata sighting in Pune on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 114th most-seen of the 340 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata in Pune on a given day, against under 5% in February to August, the lowest months. That is one of Pune's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain against 520 mm in July.
4th of 12
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Orvasca subnotata sightings, Pune ranks 4th at about 10%. The best odds are in Hong Kong (China, about 20%), Tuen Mun (China, about 10%) and Zhuhai [Macau] (China, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Orvasca subnotata that you can see in Pune (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Footman Moth (about 10%), Handmaiden Moth (about 10%) and Sandalwood Defoliator (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orvasca subnotata is recorded against all the insects logged in Pune (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
