What are the chances of seeing a Carolinian Elegant in San Antonio?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Carolinian Elegant sighting in San Antonio on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 369th most-seen of the 697 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Carolinian Elegant in San Antonio?
October
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Carolinian Elegant in San Antonio on a given day, against under 5% in November to September, the lowest months.
Is San Antonio the best place to see a Carolinian Elegant?
8th of 10
Of the 10 cities where we can rate Carolinian Elegant sightings, San Antonio ranks 8th at under 5%. The best odds are in Baltimore (United States, about 10%), Washington (United States, under 5%) and Austin (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Carolinian Elegant live in San Antonio?
Same family: Syrphidae
The closest relatives of the Carolinian Elegant that you can see in San Antonio (family Syrphidae, Hover Flies) are Oblique Streaktail (about 10%), Margined Calligrapher (about 10%) and Northern Plushback (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Carolinian Elegant sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Carolinian Elegant is recorded against all the insects logged in San Antonio (18 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.