Carales astur
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Carales astur, the astur moth, is a moth of the family Erebidae. It was described by Pieter Cramer in 1777. It is found from Mexico to Bolivia and east to Suriname. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serra dos Órgãos National Park | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 2 | Iguazú National Park | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 3 | Iguaçu National Park | 🇧🇷 Brazil |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curitiba | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 2 | Porto Alegre | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 3 | São Paulo | 🇧🇷 Brazil |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Carales astur sighting in São Paulo on a given day, based on 41 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 168th most-seen of the 832 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January, April–May and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Carales astur in São Paulo on a given day, against under 5% in February–March, June–September and November–December, the lowest months.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Carales astur sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Carales astur sightings, São Paulo ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Curitiba (Brazil, about 10%) and Porto Alegre (Brazil, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Carales astur that you can see in São Paulo (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Apistosia judas (about 10%), Black Witch (about 10%) and Argyroeides ophion (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Carales astur is recorded against all the insects logged in São Paulo (41 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
