What are the chances of seeing an Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth in Shanghai?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth sighting in Shanghai on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 185th most-seen of the 215 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth in Shanghai?
October to December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth in Shanghai on a given day, against under 5% in January to September, the lowest months.
Is Shanghai the best place to see an Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth?
3rd of 5
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth sightings, Shanghai ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Nagoya (Japan, about 20%) and Osaka (Japan, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth live in Shanghai?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth that you can see in Shanghai (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Amata formosae (about 10%) and Grote's Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Oriental Fruit-Piercing Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Shanghai (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.