What are the chances of seeing a Grote's Tussock Moth in Shanghai?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Grote's Tussock Moth sighting in Shanghai on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 86th most-seen of the 215 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Grote's Tussock Moth in Shanghai?
March–April and August–December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Grote's Tussock Moth in Shanghai on a given day, against under 5% in January–February and May–July, the lowest months.
Is Shanghai the best place to see a Grote's Tussock Moth?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Grote's Tussock Moth sightings, Shanghai ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Hong Kong (China, about 10%) and Tuen Mun (China, about 10%).
Where does the Grote's Tussock Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Grote's Tussock Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Shanghai (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.