What are the chances of seeing an Orvasca subnotata in Singapore?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata sighting in Singapore on a given day, based on 26 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 484th most-seen of the 1045 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Orvasca subnotata in Singapore?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata in Singapore on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Singapore the best place to see an Orvasca subnotata?
12th of 12
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Orvasca subnotata sightings, Singapore ranks 12th at under 5%. The best odds are in Hong Kong (China, about 20%), Tuen Mun (China, about 10%) and Zhuhai [Macau] (China, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Orvasca subnotata live in Singapore?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Orvasca subnotata that you can see in Singapore (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Hübner's Wasp Moth (about 30%), Triangular-Striped Moth (about 10%) and Erebus ephesperis (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Orvasca subnotata sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orvasca subnotata is recorded against all the insects logged in Singapore (26 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.