Cheilomenes propinqua
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antananarivo | 🇲🇬 Madagascar | |
| 2 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 3 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Tel Aviv | 🇮🇱 Israel | |
| 5 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 6 | Harare | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 7 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua sighting in Tel Aviv on a given day, based on 33 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 54th most-seen of the 264 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March and June–August
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua in Tel Aviv on a given day, against under 5% in November and December, the lowest months. Those are among Tel Aviv's driest months, with about 10 mm of rain a month against 90 mm in January.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cheilomenes propinqua sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
4th of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Cheilomenes propinqua sightings, Tel Aviv ranks 4th at about 10%. The best odds are in Antananarivo (Madagascar, about 30%), Nairobi (Kenya, about 20%) and Pretoria (South Africa, about 20%).
Same family: Coccinellidae
The closest relatives of the Cheilomenes propinqua that you can see in Tel Aviv (family Coccinellidae, Lady Beetles) are Seven-Spotted Lady Beetle (about 30%), Asian Lady Beetle (about 20%) and Variegated Lady Beetle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cheilomenes propinqua is recorded against all the insects logged in Tel Aviv (33 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
