What are the chances of seeing an Atrocalopteryx atrata in Tokyo?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Atrocalopteryx atrata sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 400 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 38th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Atrocalopteryx atrata in Tokyo?
July to September
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report an Atrocalopteryx atrata in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in November to May, the lowest months.
Is Tokyo the best place to see an Atrocalopteryx atrata?
6th of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Atrocalopteryx atrata sightings, Tokyo ranks 6th at about 10%. The best odds are in Nagoya (Japan, about 30%), Daejeon (South Korea, about 20%) and Osaka (Japan, about 20%).
Where does the Atrocalopteryx atrata sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Atrocalopteryx atrata is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (400 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.