What are the chances of seeing a Lasius spathepus in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Lasius spathepus sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 644th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Lasius spathepus in Tokyo?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Lasius spathepus in Tokyo on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Tokyo the best place to see a Lasius spathepus?
2nd of 2
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Lasius spathepus sightings, Tokyo ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Seoul (South Korea, about 10%).
Where does the Lasius spathepus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lasius spathepus is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.