Ligyra tantalus
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Ligyra tantalus is a species of insect in the family Bombyliidae, commonly known as bee flies. It has an orange and brown thorax and a black abdomen with a white ring and four spots on it, although the rearmost two spots can be joined together in some specimens. The wings are purplish-black and swept back from the body when at rest. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ligyra tantalus sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 96 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 153rd most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June to August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ligyra tantalus in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in September to May, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Ligyra tantalus sightings, Tokyo ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Jakarta (Indonesia, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ligyra tantalus is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (96 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
