What are the chances of seeing a Promachus yesonicus in Tokyo?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Promachus yesonicus sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 325 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 42nd most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Promachus yesonicus in Tokyo?
July
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Promachus yesonicus in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in September to April, the lowest months.
Is Tokyo the best place to see a Promachus yesonicus?
5th of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Promachus yesonicus sightings, Tokyo ranks 5th at about 10%. The best odds are in Daejeon (South Korea, about 20%), Hiroshima (Japan, about 20%) and Osaka (Japan, about 20%).
Where does the Promachus yesonicus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Promachus yesonicus is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (325 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.