Acronyctodes mexicanaria
In 3 days ~50% in a week ~80%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reserva de la Biosfera Mariposa Monarca | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report an Acronyctodes mexicanaria sighting in Toluca on a given day, based on 23 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 21st most-seen of the 70 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report an Acronyctodes mexicanaria in Toluca on a given day, against under 5% in March–June and November–December, the lowest months. That is one of Toluca's wettest months, with about 150 mm of rain against 5 mm in December.
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Acronyctodes mexicanaria sightings, Toluca has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Mexico City (México, about 20%).
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Acronyctodes mexicanaria that you can see in Toluca (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Two-Tailed Swallowtail (about 50%), Mourning Cloak (about 40%) and West Coast Lady (about 40%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Acronyctodes mexicanaria is recorded against all the insects logged in Toluca (23 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
