Cycloneda emarginata
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reserva de la Biosfera Mariposa Monarca | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quito | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | |
| 2 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 5 | León | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 6 | Curitiba | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 8 | Bogota | 🇨🇴 Colombia | |
| 9 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 10 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cycloneda emarginata sighting in Toluca on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 30th most-seen of the 70 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January and November
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Cycloneda emarginata in Toluca on a given day, against under 5% in February–March, May and December, the lowest months. Those are among Toluca's driest months, with about 15 mm of rain a month against 150 mm in July.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cycloneda emarginata sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 11 cities where we can rate Cycloneda emarginata sightings, Toluca ranks 2nd at about 20%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Quito (Ecuador, about 20%).
Same family: Coccinellidae
The closest relatives of the Cycloneda emarginata that you can see in Toluca (family Coccinellidae, Lady Beetles) are Asian Lady Beetle (about 30%), Convergent Lady Beetle (about 20%) and Cactus Lady Beetle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cycloneda emarginata is recorded against all the insects logged in Toluca (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
