Dysschema mariamne
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Dysschema mariamne is a moth of the family Erebidae first described by Warren in 1904. It is found in Mexico and Guatemala. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Amistad International Park (Panama) | 🇵🇦 Panama |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Guadalajara | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Giant Flag Moth sighting in Toluca on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 40th most-seen of the 70 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and August
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Giant Flag Moth in Toluca on a given day, against under 5% in November to May, the lowest months. Those are among Toluca's wettest months, with about 150 mm of rain a month against 5 mm in December.
Between 6 and 9 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Southern Giant Flag Moth sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Southern Giant Flag Moth sightings, Toluca has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Guadalajara (México, under 5%) and Mexico City (México, under 5%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Southern Giant Flag Moth that you can see in Toluca (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Black Witch (about 30%) and Adept Fruit-Piercing Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Southern Giant Flag Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Toluca (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
