Catocala cara
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Catocala cara, the darling underwing, is a moth of the family Erebidae. The species was first described by Achille Guenée in 1852. It can be found in the United States east of the Rocky Mountains; it occurs west at least to Oklahoma and north at least to Illinois. It also ranges into southern Canada, but only barely so. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montreal | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 2 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 3 | Minneapolis [Saint Paul] | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Darling Underwing sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 45 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 382nd most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Darling Underwing in Toronto on a given day, against under 5% in October to July, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Darling Underwing sightings, Toronto ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Montreal (Canada, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Darling Underwing is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (45 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
