What are the chances of seeing a Little Underwing in Toronto?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Little Underwing sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 54 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 375th most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Little Underwing in Toronto?
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Little Underwing in Toronto on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months.
Is Toronto the best place to see a Little Underwing?
Among the best
Of the 8 cities where we can rate Little Underwing sightings, Toronto ranks 5th at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Detroit (United States, under 5%), Chicago (United States, under 5%) and Denver (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Little Underwing sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Little Underwing is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (54 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.