What are the chances of seeing a Red-Tailed Thistle Fly in Toronto?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Tailed Thistle Fly sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1005th most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Red-Tailed Thistle Fly in Toronto?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Tailed Thistle Fly in Toronto on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Where else can you see a Red-Tailed Thistle Fly?
Only Toronto, in our data
Toronto is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Red-Tailed Thistle Fly sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Red-Tailed Thistle Fly live in Toronto?
Same family: Tephritidae
The closest relatives of the Red-Tailed Thistle Fly that you can see in Toronto (family Tephritidae, Fruit Flies) are Goldenrod Gall Fly (about 10%) and Thistle Stem Gall Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Red-Tailed Thistle Fly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Red-Tailed Thistle Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.