What are the chances of seeing a Spring Dead-Leaf Roller Moth in Toronto?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Spring Dead-Leaf Roller Moth sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 70 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 289th most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Spring Dead-Leaf Roller Moth in Toronto?
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Spring Dead-Leaf Roller Moth in Toronto on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months.
Is Toronto the best place to see a Spring Dead-Leaf Roller Moth?
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Spring Dead-Leaf Roller Moth sightings, Toronto has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Boston (United States, under 5%) and Montreal (Canada, under 5%).
Where does the Spring Dead-Leaf Roller Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Spring Dead-Leaf Roller Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (70 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.