What are the chances of seeing a Wheat Head Armyworm in Toronto?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Wheat Head Armyworm sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1410th most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Wheat Head Armyworm in Toronto?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Wheat Head Armyworm in Toronto on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Toronto the best place to see a Wheat Head Armyworm?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Wheat Head Armyworm sightings, Toronto ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Austin (United States, under 5%) and Chicago (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Wheat Head Armyworm live in Toronto?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Wheat Head Armyworm that you can see in Toronto (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are American Dagger (about 10%), Large Yellow Underwing (about 10%) and Armyworm Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Wheat Head Armyworm sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Wheat Head Armyworm is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.