What are the chances of seeing a Black Shield Hornet in Tuen Mun?
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Black Shield Hornet sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 109 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 34th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black Shield Hornet in Tuen Mun?
November
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Black Shield Hornet in Tuen Mun on a given day, against about 10% in January–March and June, the lowest months. That is one of Tuen Mun's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain against 290 mm in June.
Is Tuen Mun the best place to see a Black Shield Hornet?
2nd of 5
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Black Shield Hornet sightings, Tuen Mun ranks 2nd at about 20%. The best odds are in Zhuhai [Macau] (China, about 30%).
Which relatives of the Black Shield Hornet live in Tuen Mun?
Same genus: Vespa
The closest relatives of the Black Shield Hornet that you can see in Tuen Mun (genus Vespa, Hornets) are Yellow-Legged Hornet (about 20%), Lesser Banded Hornet (about 10%) and Southern Giant Hornet (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Black Shield Hornet sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black Shield Hornet is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (109 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.