Nomia incerta
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 336th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May, July and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in June, August and October–April, the lowest months. Those are among Tuen Mun's wettest months, with about 200 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in December.
Among the best
Of the 8 cities where we can rate Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia sightings, Tuen Mun ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Jakarta (Indonesia, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
