Orvasca subnotata
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Orvasca subnotata is a nygmiine tussock moth in the family Erebidae, found in Indomalaya and East Asia, where it is known as a pest that feeds on millets. The species was first described by Francis Walker in 1865. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hong Kong | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 2 | Tuen Mun | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 3 | Zhuhai [Macau] | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 4 | Pune | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 5 | Colombo [Sri Jayawardenepura Kotte] | 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka | |
| 6 | Kochi | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 7 | Guangzhou | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 8 | Bengaluru | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 9 | Chennai | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 10 | Hyderabad | 🇮🇳 India |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 48 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 106th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April–May and October–December
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in January and August–September, the lowest months.
2nd of 12
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Orvasca subnotata sightings, Tuen Mun ranks 2nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Hong Kong (China, about 20%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Orvasca subnotata that you can see in Tuen Mun (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Handmaiden Moth (about 20%), Amata sperbius (about 10%) and Banyan Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orvasca subnotata is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (48 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
