Progonia oileusalis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Progonia oileusalis is a species of moth in the family Noctuidae first described by Francis Walker in 1859. It is found in Sri Lanka, Borneo, India, Taiwan, Japan and the Philippines. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Progonia oileusalis sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 295th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February–March, May–June and August–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Progonia oileusalis in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in April, July and December–January, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Progonia oileusalis sightings, Tuen Mun has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Hong Kong (China, under 5%) and Taipei (Taiwan, under 5%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Progonia oileusalis that you can see in Tuen Mun (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Handmaiden Moth (about 20%), Amata sperbius (about 10%) and Banyan Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Progonia oileusalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (12 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
