Spilarctia subcarnea
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Spilarctia subcarnea is a moth in the family Erebidae. It was described by Francis Walker in 1855. It is found in Nepal, China (Hong Kong, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Hubei, Sichuan, Beijing, Shandong Heilongjiang, Shaanxi, Jiangsu, Hunan, Fujian, Yunnan, Jilin, Guangdong, Dunbei, Nei Mongol, Guizhou, Gansu, Henan, Liaonin, Hebei, Shanxi, Anhui, Jiangxi, Guangxi), the Russian Far East, Korea, Japan and Taiwan. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Spilarctia subcarnea sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 318th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February–April, June and September–October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Spilarctia subcarnea in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in May, July–August and November–January, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Spilarctia subcarnea sightings, Tuen Mun has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Shanghai (China, under 5%) and Hong Kong (China, under 5%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Spilarctia subcarnea that you can see in Tuen Mun (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Handmaiden Moth (about 20%), Amata sperbius (about 10%) and Banyan Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Spilarctia subcarnea is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
