Polydrusus picus
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Polydrusus picus sighting in Warsaw on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 268th most-seen of the 580 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Polydrusus picus in Warsaw on a given day, against under 5% in July to April, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Polydrusus picus sightings, Warsaw ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Belgrade (Serbia, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Polydrusus picus is recorded against all the insects logged in Warsaw (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
