What are the chances of seeing an Aplos simplex in Washington?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Aplos simplex sighting in Washington on a given day, based on 38 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 559th most-seen of the 1807 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Aplos simplex in Washington?
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Aplos simplex in Washington on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months.
Is Washington the best place to see an Aplos simplex?
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Aplos simplex sightings, Washington ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Boston (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Aplos simplex sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Aplos simplex is recorded against all the insects logged in Washington (38 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.