Orvasca subnotata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
Orvasca subnotata is a nygmiine tussock moth in the family Erebidae, found in Indomalaya and East Asia, where it is known as a pest that feeds on millets. The species was first described by Francis Walker in 1865. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hong Kong | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 2 | Tuen Mun | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 3 | Zhuhai [Macau] | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 4 | Pune | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 5 | Colombo [Sri Jayawardenepura Kotte] | 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka | |
| 6 | Kochi | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 7 | Guangzhou | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 8 | Bengaluru | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 9 | Chennai | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 10 | Hyderabad | 🇮🇳 India |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata sighting in Zhuhai [Macau] on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 64th most-seen of the 152 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata in Zhuhai [Macau] on a given day, against under 5% in May–July and September–March, the lowest months. That is one of Zhuhai [Macau]'s wettest months, with about 230 mm of rain against 20 mm in December.
3rd of 12
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Orvasca subnotata sightings, Zhuhai [Macau] ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Hong Kong (China, about 20%) and Tuen Mun (China, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Orvasca subnotata that you can see in Zhuhai [Macau] (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Nyctemera lacticinia (about 10%), Nyctemera adversata (about 10%) and Banyan Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orvasca subnotata is recorded against all the insects logged in Zhuhai [Macau] (12 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
