Nephele comma
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Nephele comma is a moth of the family Sphingidae. It is very common throughout the Ethiopian Region, including Madagascar. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gorongosa National Park | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | |
| 2 | iSimangaliso Wetland Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Comma Nephele sighting in Kruger National Park on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 280th most-seen of the 748 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and December–January
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Comma Nephele in Kruger National Park on a given day, against under 5% in February–March and May–November, the lowest months. Those are among Kruger National Park's wettest months, with about 70 mm of rain a month against almost none in August.
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Comma Nephele sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
3rd of 3
Of the 3 parks where we can rate Comma Nephele sightings, Kruger National Park ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Gorongosa National Park (Mozambique, about 20%) and iSimangaliso Wetland Park (South Africa, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Comma Nephele is recorded against all the insects logged in Kruger National Park (16 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
