What are the chances of seeing an Ash Shoulder-Knot in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Ash Shoulder-Knot sighting in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 416th most-seen of the 597 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Ash Shoulder-Knot in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park?
September and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Ash Shoulder-Knot in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park on a given day, against under 5% in November to August, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see an Ash Shoulder-Knot?
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Ash Shoulder-Knot sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Where else can you see an Ash Shoulder-Knot?
Only Sierra de Guadarrama National Park, in our data
Sierra de Guadarrama National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Ash Shoulder-Knot sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Ash Shoulder-Knot live in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Ash Shoulder-Knot that you can see in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Silver Υ (about 10%), Turnip Moth (about 10%) and Common Quaker (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Ash Shoulder-Knot sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ash Shoulder-Knot is recorded against all the insects logged in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park (7 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.