Mythimna sicula
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Mythimna sicula is a species of moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found from Morocco to Libya, central and southern Europe, Turkey, Israel, Iran and Turkmenistan. Adults are on wing year round. There are multiple generations per year.
The larvae feed on various Gramineae species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aigüestortes National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 4 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 5 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 6 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mythimna sicula sighting in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 661st most-seen of the 1115 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mythimna sicula in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, against under 5% in July to April, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Mythimna sicula sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 6 parks where we can rate Mythimna sicula sightings, Bavarian Forest National Park ranks 5th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Aigüestortes National Park (Spain, about 10%), Sierra Nevada National Park (Spain, about 10%) and Cévennes National Park (France, about 10%).
Same genus: Mythimna
The closest relatives of the Mythimna sicula that you can see in Bavarian Forest National Park (genus Mythimna) are Smoky Wainscot (about 10%) and The White-Point (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mythimna sicula is recorded against all the insects logged in Bavarian Forest National Park (9 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
