What are the chances of seeing a Purple Cloud in Bavarian Forest National Park?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Purple Cloud sighting in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 964th most-seen of the 1115 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Purple Cloud in Bavarian Forest National Park?
May and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Purple Cloud in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, against under 5% in June and August–April, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Purple Cloud?
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Purple Cloud sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Bavarian Forest National Park the best place to see a Purple Cloud?
Yes
Of the 3 parks where we can rate Purple Cloud sightings, Bavarian Forest National Park has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Wadden Sea National Park (Germany, under 5%) and Pyrénées National Park (France, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Purple Cloud live in Bavarian Forest National Park?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Purple Cloud that you can see in Bavarian Forest National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Silver Υ (about 20%), Knot Grass Moth (about 20%) and Large Yellow Underwing (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Purple Cloud sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Purple Cloud is recorded against all the insects logged in Bavarian Forest National Park (5 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.