Cydia amplana
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Cydia amplana, the rusty oak moth, is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found from northern, central and southern Europe to Asia Minor, south-western Russia and Transcaucasus. The wingspan is 16–20 mm. It often needs two years for development. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 3 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Vagrant Piercer sighting in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 661st most-seen of the 1115 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Vagrant Piercer in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, against under 5% in October to June, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Vagrant Piercer sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Yes
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Vagrant Piercer sightings, Bavarian Forest National Park has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Wadden Sea National Park (Germany, under 5%).
Same genus: Cydia
The closest relatives of the Vagrant Piercer that you can see in Bavarian Forest National Park (genus Cydia) are Large Beech Piercer (about 10%) and Marbled Piercer (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Vagrant Piercer is recorded against all the insects logged in Bavarian Forest National Park (9 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
