Xanthorhoe designata
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Xanthorhoe designata, the flame carpet, is a moth of the genus Xanthorhoe in the family Geometridae. The species was first described by Johann Siegfried Hufnagel in 1767. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Flame Carpet sighting in Cairngorms National Park on a given day, based on 19 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 94th most-seen of the 300 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and August
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Flame Carpet in Cairngorms National Park on a given day, against under 5% in October to March, the lowest months.
Between 7 and 10 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Flame Carpet sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
2nd of 4
Of the 4 parks where we can rate Flame Carpet sightings, Cairngorms National Park ranks 2nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Snowdonia National Park (United Kingdom, about 20%).
Same genus: Xanthorhoe
The closest relatives of the Flame Carpet that you can see in Cairngorms National Park (genus Xanthorhoe) are Silver-Ground Carpet (about 10%) and Garden Carpet (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Flame Carpet is recorded against all the insects logged in Cairngorms National Park (19 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
