Eumaeus toxea
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biotopo Cerro Cahuí | 🇬🇹 Guatemala | |
| 2 | Calakmul Biosphere Reserve | 🇲🇽 Mexico | |
| 3 | Sian Ka'an Biosphere Reserve | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Pedro Sula | 🇭🇳 Honduras | |
| 2 | San Salvador | 🇸🇻 El Salvador |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Mexican Cycadian sighting in Calakmul Biosphere Reserve on a given day, based on 17 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 9th most-seen of the 75 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Mexican Cycadian in Calakmul Biosphere Reserve on a given day, against under 5% in February, August and October–December, the lowest months. That is one of Calakmul Biosphere Reserve's wettest months, with about 130 mm of rain against 15 mm in February.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Mexican Cycadian sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 3 parks where we can rate Mexican Cycadian sightings, Calakmul Biosphere Reserve ranks 2nd at about 20%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Biotopo Cerro Cahuí (Guatemala, about 20%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mexican Cycadian is recorded against all the insects logged in Calakmul Biosphere Reserve (17 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
