Marpesia chiron
In 3 days ~60% in a week ~90%
Marpesia chiron, the many-banded daggerwing, is a species of daggerwings, map butterflies in the family Nymphalidae. It is found in Central America, North America, and South America. The MONA or Hodges number for Marpesia chiron is 4549. Wikipedia →
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Pedro Sula | 🇭🇳 Honduras | |
| 2 | Salvador | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 3 | Vitória | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 4 | San Salvador | 🇸🇻 El Salvador | |
| 5 | Rio de Janeiro | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 6 | Panama City | 🇵🇦 Panama | |
| 7 | Belo Horizonte | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 8 | Caracas | 🇻🇪 Venezuela | |
| 9 | São Paulo | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 10 | San José | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica |
Possible
About 30% of wildlife watchers report a Many-Banded Daggerwing sighting in Calakmul Biosphere Reserve on a given day, based on 51 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the most-seen of the 75 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 60%, and over a week to about 90%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 50% of wildlife watchers report a Many-Banded Daggerwing in Calakmul Biosphere Reserve on a given day, against under 5% in March and April, the lowest months. That is one of Calakmul Biosphere Reserve's wettest months, with about 120 mm of rain against 15 mm in February.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Many-Banded Daggerwing sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 26 parks where we can rate Many-Banded Daggerwing sightings, Calakmul Biosphere Reserve ranks 6th at about 30%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Iguazú National Park (Argentina, about 30%), Cuyabeno Wildlife Reserve (Ecuador, about 30%) and Biotopo Cerro Cahuí (Guatemala, about 30%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Many-Banded Daggerwing is recorded against all the insects logged in Calakmul Biosphere Reserve (51 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
