Cheilomenes propinqua
In 3 days ~60% in a week ~90%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antananarivo | 🇲🇬 Madagascar | |
| 2 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 3 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Tel Aviv | 🇮🇱 Israel | |
| 5 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 6 | Harare | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 7 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Possible
About 30% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua sighting in Antananarivo on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 20th most-seen of the 59 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 60%, and over a week to about 90%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 50% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua in Antananarivo on a given day, against under 5% in February–March, August and November–December, the lowest months. That is one of Antananarivo's driest months, with about 95 mm of rain against 480 mm in January.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cheilomenes propinqua sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Yes
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Cheilomenes propinqua sightings, Antananarivo has the highest daily chance: about 30%. Next come Nairobi (Kenya, about 20%) and Pretoria (South Africa, about 20%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cheilomenes propinqua is recorded against all the insects logged in Antananarivo (18 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
