Spodoptera littoralis
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Spodoptera littoralis, also referred to as the African cotton leafworm or Egyptian cotton leafworm or Mediterranean brocade, is a species of moth in the family Noctuidae. S. littoralis is found widely in Africa, Mediterranean Europe and Middle Eastern countries. It is a highly polyphagous organism that is a pest of many cultivated plants and crops. As a result, this species was assigned the label of A2 quarantine pest by the EPPO and was cautioned as a highly invasive species in the United States. The devastating impacts caused by these pests have led to the development of both biological and chemical control methods. This moth is often confused with Spodoptera litura.
Egyptian cotton leafworm is one of the many species of genus Spodoptera and family Noctuidae. The family Noctuidae was named by a French zoologist, Pierre André Latreille, in 1809 and the genus Spodoptera was named by a French entomologist, Achiwlle Guenée, in 1852. Many of the species of genus Swpodoptera are known to be pest insects. The species was named by Jean Baptiste Boisduval in 1833. Synonyms of S. littoralis include Hadena littoralis and Prodenia littoralis. Due to the similarities between many... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Mediterranean Brocade sighting in Antananarivo on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 45th most-seen of the 59 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Mediterranean Brocade in Antananarivo on a given day, against under 5% in May–June and November–March, the lowest months. That is one of Antananarivo's driest months, with about 45 mm of rain against 480 mm in January.
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Mediterranean Brocade sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
3rd of 9
Of the 9 cities where we can rate Mediterranean Brocade sightings, Antananarivo ranks 3rd at about 20%. The best odds are in Cotonou (Benin, about 30%) and Yaoundé (Cameroon, about 30%).
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Mediterranean Brocade that you can see in Antananarivo (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Royal Blue Pansy (about 60%), African Grass Blue (about 40%) and Island Brown Pansy (about 40%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mediterranean Brocade is recorded against all the insects logged in Antananarivo (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
