Vanessa carye
In 3 days ~90% in a week >90%
Vanessa carye, the western painted lady, is a butterfly of the family Nymphalidae. It is found in South America, from the mountains of Colombia and west of Caracas (Venezuela) through Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, Chile, southern Brazil, and Paraguay to Patagonia in Argentina. It is also found on Easter Island and Tuamotus.
The larvae feed on Achyrocline flaccida and many other species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauca National Park | 🇨🇱 Chile | |
| 2 | Península Valdés | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 3 | Nahuel Huapi National Park | 🇦🇷 Argentina |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Paz | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | |
| 2 | Cochabamba | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | |
| 3 | Quito | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | |
| 4 | Arequipa | 🇵🇪 Peru | |
| 5 | Santiago | 🇨🇱 Chile | |
| 6 | Mendoza | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 7 | Rosario | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 8 | Lima | 🇵🇪 Peru | |
| 9 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 10 | Montevideo | 🇺🇾 Uruguay |
Likely
About 50% of wildlife watchers report a Subtropical Lady sighting in Arequipa on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the most-seen of the 5 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 90%, and over a week to over 90%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 70% of wildlife watchers report a Subtropical Lady in Arequipa on a given day, against about 10% in August to January, the lowest months. That is one of Arequipa's driest months, with almost no rain against 45 mm in February.
Between noon and 3 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Subtropical Lady sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
4th of 13
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Subtropical Lady sightings, Arequipa ranks 4th at about 50%. The best odds are in La Paz (Bolivia, about 80%), Cochabamba (Bolivia, about 60%) and Quito (Ecuador, about 50%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Subtropical Lady is recorded against all the insects logged in Arequipa (18 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
