Ctenoplusia limbirena
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Ctenoplusia limbirena, the Scar Bank gem, or silver U-tail, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in south-western Europe, Africa (Lesotho, the Cape Province, KwaZulu-Natal, Transvaal, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Zambia, Botswana, Malawi and eastern and equatorial Africa), the Canary Islands, Arabia, the southern Himalayas, India, Sri Lanka, Indochina to south-eastern China, Taiwan, Sulawesi, Bali and Timor. In New Zealand, it has been established since 2011.
The wingspan is 40–45 mm. Palpi with short third joint. Hind femur of male not tufted with long hair. Head and thorax clothed with grey and black scales. Abdomen pale with dark dorsal tufts. Forewings fuscous with a copper tinged. There are ill-defined darker medial and submarginal patches can be seen. The minutely waved double sub-basal and antemedial lines with silvery specks on them. Orbicular and reniform small, indistinct and with pink edges. There is a prominent silvery "Y-mark" can be seen below the cell. The minutely waved double postmedial line angled inwards above vein 1. There are traces of an irregularly sinuous sub-marginal line and a small pinkish patch found on center of outer margin. A marginal... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Mountains National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 2 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Scar Bank Gem sighting in Auckland on a given day, based on 175 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 29th most-seen of the 689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Scar Bank Gem in Auckland on a given day, against about 10% in February–March and August, the lowest months.
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Scar Bank Gem sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Scar Bank Gem sightings, Auckland has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Porto (Portugal, about 10%) and Lisbon (Portugal, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Scar Bank Gem is recorded against all the insects logged in Auckland (175 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
