Eupithecia centaureata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
The lime-speck pug (Eupithecia centaureata) is a moth of the family Geometridae. It is a common species throughout the Palearctic region (where it is found in Europe, Central Asia, Mongolia, southern Siberia, eastern China (Guangdong) and Taiwan), the Near East and North Africa.
This is a distinctive species, all the wings being largely white except for a black blotch on the costa of the forewing. The wingspan is 20–24 mm. In the ab. obscura Dietze.(perhaps developed chiefly in Asia but also recorded from the Tyrol) the ground-colour of both wings has a smoky suffusion. In the ab. centralisata Stgr., chiefly from Palestine and Central Asia, the markings are weaker, sometimes (except the discal mark) almost entirely obsolete. The larva is long and thin, white-yellow with a red dorsal stripe and horseshoe-shaped red spots running down the sides.
Often two broods are produced each year and the adults can be seen at any time during the summer and autumn. The moths fly at night and are attracted to light and nectar-rich flowers. The larva is rather variable but is usually green or yellow, often with red markings. It feeds on the flowers of a variety of plants (see list... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 4 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Madrid | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 6 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 8 | Copenhagen | 🇩🇰 Denmark | |
| 9 | Lisbon | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 10 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lime-Speck Pug sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 20 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 349th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and July–September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lime-Speck Pug in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in June and October–April, the lowest months.
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Lime-Speck Pug sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Lime-Speck Pug sightings, Birmingham ranks 4th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%), London (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Porto (Portugal, about 10%).
Same genus: Eupithecia
The closest relatives of the Lime-Speck Pug that you can see in Birmingham (genus Eupithecia, Pug Moths) are Common Pug (about 10%) and Brindled Pug (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lime-Speck Pug is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (20 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
