Acronicta megacephala
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
The poplar grey (Acronicta megacephala) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found throughout Europe. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Budapest | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 3 | Kyiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 4 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 6 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 7 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 9 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 10 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Poplar Grey sighting in Budapest on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 261st most-seen of the 404 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Poplar Grey in Budapest on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months.
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Poplar Grey sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Poplar Grey sightings, Budapest ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Poplar Grey is recorded against all the insects logged in Budapest (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
