What are the chances of seeing a Polistes cinerascens in Buenos Aires?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Polistes cinerascens sighting in Buenos Aires on a given day, based on 229 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 56th most-seen of the 558 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Polistes cinerascens in Buenos Aires?
April
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Polistes cinerascens in Buenos Aires on a given day, against under 5% in July, the lowest month.
Is Buenos Aires the best place to see a Polistes cinerascens?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Polistes cinerascens sightings, Buenos Aires has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Porto Alegre (Brazil, about 10%).
Where does the Polistes cinerascens sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Polistes cinerascens is recorded against all the insects logged in Buenos Aires (229 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.