Cycloneda emarginata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reserva de la Biosfera Mariposa Monarca | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quito | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | |
| 2 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 5 | León | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 6 | Curitiba | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 8 | Bogota | 🇨🇴 Colombia | |
| 9 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 10 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cycloneda emarginata sighting in Curitiba on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 128th most-seen of the 177 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cycloneda emarginata in Curitiba on a given day, against under 5% in January–April, June–August and November, the lowest months.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cycloneda emarginata sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
6th of 11
Of the 11 cities where we can rate Cycloneda emarginata sightings, Curitiba ranks 6th at about 10%. The best odds are in Quito (Ecuador, about 20%), Toluca (México, about 20%) and Mexico City (México, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cycloneda emarginata is recorded against all the insects logged in Curitiba (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
