Macdunnoughia confusa
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Macdunnoughia confusa, or Dewick’s plusia, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It was first described by James Francis Stephens in 1850. It is found from Europe through Siberia to Japan and is also present in Lebanon and Israel.
The wingspan is 30–38 millimetres (1.2–1.5 in). The length of the forewings is 12–17 millimetres (0.47–0.67 in). The moth flies in three generations from April to October [1]. The larvae feed on various herbaceous plants such as Lamium, nettle, Artemisia absinthium and chamomile. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fertő-Hanság National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dewick's Plusia sighting in Kyiv on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 193rd most-seen of the 753 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dewick's Plusia in Kyiv on a given day, against under 5% in October to April, the lowest months.
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Dewick's Plusia sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Dewick's Plusia sightings, Kyiv ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Kharkiv (Ukraine, about 10%) and Porto (Portugal, about 10%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Dewick's Plusia that you can see in Kyiv (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Cotton Bollworm Moth (about 20%), Silver Υ (about 20%) and Nutmeg Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dewick's Plusia is recorded against all the insects logged in Kyiv (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
