Vanessa carye
In 3 days >90%
Vanessa carye, the western painted lady, is a butterfly of the family Nymphalidae. It is found in South America, from the mountains of Colombia and west of Caracas (Venezuela) through Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, Chile, southern Brazil, and Paraguay to Patagonia in Argentina. It is also found on Easter Island and Tuamotus.
The larvae feed on Achyrocline flaccida and many other species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauca National Park | 🇨🇱 Chile | |
| 2 | Península Valdés | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 3 | Nahuel Huapi National Park | 🇦🇷 Argentina |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Paz | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | |
| 2 | Cochabamba | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | |
| 3 | Quito | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | |
| 4 | Arequipa | 🇵🇪 Peru | |
| 5 | Santiago | 🇨🇱 Chile | |
| 6 | Mendoza | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 7 | Rosario | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 8 | Lima | 🇵🇪 Peru | |
| 9 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 10 | Montevideo | 🇺🇾 Uruguay |
Very likely
About 80% of wildlife watchers report a Subtropical Lady sighting in La Paz on a given day, based on 334 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the most-seen of the 32 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to over 90%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and May
In those months about 80% of wildlife watchers report a Subtropical Lady in La Paz on a given day, against under 5% in February, the lowest month. Those are among La Paz's driest months, with about 25 mm of rain a month against 140 mm in January.
Between noon and 3 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Subtropical Lady sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Yes
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Subtropical Lady sightings, La Paz has the highest daily chance: about 80%. Next come Cochabamba (Bolivia, about 60%) and Quito (Ecuador, about 50%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Subtropical Lady is recorded against all the insects logged in La Paz (334 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
