Tethea ocularis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Tethea ocularis, the figure of eighty, is a moth of the family Drepanidae. The species was first described by Carl Linnaeus in his 1767 12th edition of Systema Naturae. It is found throughout Continental Europe and has a scattered distribution in England and Wales, although it is absent from Scotland and Ireland.
The wingspan is 35–45 mm; the dark brown forewings being marked with dark-centred white stigmata which do look rather like the number 80. The hindwings are grey. The species flies from May to July[1] and is attracted to light and sugar.
The grey and white larva feeds on poplar and aspen. The species overwinters as a pupa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Figure Of Eighty sighting in Liverpool on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 325th most-seen of the 632 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Figure Of Eighty in Liverpool on a given day, against under 5% in August to April, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Figure Of Eighty sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Yes
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Figure Of Eighty sightings, Liverpool has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Kyiv (Ukraine, under 5%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Same family: Drepanidae
The closest relatives of the Figure Of Eighty that you can see in Liverpool (family Drepanidae, Hooktip and False Owlet Moths) are Buff Arches (about 10%), Pebble Hook-Tip (about 10%) and Common Lutestring (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Figure Of Eighty is recorded against all the insects logged in Liverpool (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
