Acronicta megacephala
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
The poplar grey (Acronicta megacephala) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found throughout Europe. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Budapest | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 3 | Kyiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 4 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 6 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 7 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 9 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 10 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Poplar Grey sighting in Liverpool on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 268th most-seen of the 632 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Poplar Grey in Liverpool on a given day, against under 5% in August to April, the lowest months.
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Poplar Grey sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Yes
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Poplar Grey sightings, Liverpool has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Budapest (Hungary, about 10%) and Kyiv (Ukraine, about 10%).
Same genus: Acronicta
The closest relatives of the Poplar Grey that you can see in Liverpool (genus Acronicta, Dagger Moths) are Sycamore Moth (about 10%), Grey Dagger (about 10%) and The Miller (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Poplar Grey is recorded against all the insects logged in Liverpool (22 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
