Cacoecimorpha pronubana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Cacoecimorpha is a monotypic moth genus of the family Tortricidae. Cacoecimorpha pronubana—the carnation tortrix—is its sole species and is found in Europe, northern Africa, South Africa, Anatolia and North America. The wingspan is 18–22 mm for females and 15–17 mm for males. The forewings ground colour is light reddish ochreous with darker lines. The forewing costa is rounded. The hindwings are bright orange. Julius von Kennel provides a full description.
Adults are on wing from May to June and again from August to September depending on the location. The larvae feed on a wide variety of deciduous trees, shrubs and herbaceous plants. It can become a pest on olive trees and avocados. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athens | 🇬🇷 Greece | |
| 2 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 3 | Istanbul | 🇹🇷 Turkey | |
| 4 | Lyon | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Amsterdam | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 6 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 8 | Rome | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 9 | Copenhagen | 🇩🇰 Denmark | |
| 10 | Portland | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Carnation Tortrix sighting in London on a given day, based on 40 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 511th most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and May
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Carnation Tortrix in London on a given day, against under 5% in June to March, the lowest months.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Carnation Tortrix sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
6th of 12
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Carnation Tortrix sightings, London ranks 6th at under 5%. The best odds are in Athens (Greece, about 10%), Rotterdam [The Hague] (Netherlands, about 10%) and Istanbul (Turkey, about 10%).
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Carnation Tortrix that you can see in London (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Light Brown Apple Moth (about 20%), Common Marble (about 10%) and Clepsis dumicolana (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Carnation Tortrix is recorded against all the insects logged in London (40 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
