Ancylis badiana
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Ancylis badiana is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in the Palearctic realm. The wingspan is 12–16 mm.16–20 mm. The moth flies from late April to June and again from July to September in two generations, although this might be dependent on the location.
The larvae feed on Trifolium, Vicia, Lathyrus and Lythrum salicaria. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 5 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 6 | Saint Petersburg | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 7 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Common Roller sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 278th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Common Roller in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in June to April, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Common Roller sightings, Manchester ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Common Roller that you can see in Manchester (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Light Brown Apple Moth (about 20%), Common Marble (about 10%) and Common Yellow Conch (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Common Roller is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
